Summary:
Are you or your friends operating paid communities in the crypto circle or selling trading courses? Do you analyze market trends and provide entry/exit point recommendations in groups every day? This article explains that, even if you characterize your activities as “educational sharing,” judicial authorities will look to the substance—whether your conduct is guiding others to trade. In a Q&A format, the article clarifies when criminal risks arise, whether disclaimers are effective, and whether it is still timely to cease such activities. After reading, you will be able to assess whether your conduct crosses legal boundaries.

Keywords:
Criminal risks for virtual asset KOLs, determination of guiding trading, compliance boundaries for paid communities, investment advice and the crime of illegal business operations

 

Main Text:

In our daily practice, Attorney Shao frequently encounters crypto-circle key opinion leaders (KOLs) and clients engaged in paid knowledge services, who primarily provide instruction or share content related to “how to conduct virtual asset investment and trading.”

 

Such clients often have similar concerns: on the one hand, they feel that these activities may carry certain risks; on the other hand, they observe many peers continuing to conduct similar businesses. As a result, they are uncertain—can this business be conducted? Are there genuine legal risks?

 

In light of these frequently recurring questions from prior consultations, this article organizes the relevant issues and presents them in a Q&A format to systematically address common inquiries (to protect client privacy, identifying information has been anonymized, and only questions with broad applicability and representativeness have been selected).

 

I. Author: Attorney Shiwei Shao

 

 

 

Q Hello, Attorney Shao. I am a KOL in the crypto circle. I primarily post cryptocurrency market analysis videos on domestic and international social media platforms (such as Bilibili, Xiaohongshu, and YouTube), drive traffic from these videos to WeChat, and then establish paid communities, charging community members in USDT or fiat currency.

 

The community services include providing my recordedTrading courses, daily market analysis, and Q&A

 

My question is that I am not engaged in traditional stock business, but rather in crypto assets. The state does not recognize this sector, and there are no relevant business licenses. Does this make any difference? Could the absence of clear regulation actually result in lower risk?

 

Answer This is precisely where the complexity of the risk lies. Due to the absence of a clear licensing regime, it is difficult to directly apply the offense of "illegal business operations." However, when handling such cases, judicial authorities often refer to the policy principles concerning virtual assets within China as the basis for their proceedings.

 


 

Question: I have also heard that regulation of virtual assets has been strengthened, such as through documents like the "2.6 Notice" issued this year. Therefore, what legal risks exist in my current business model? How can I operate in a more compliant manner?

 

Answer Based on the business model you described, it has indeed entered a range with significant legal risks.

 

In practice, key opinion leaders (KOLs) who produce content and manage communities are not treated uniformly. They can generally be categorized into three tiers, with markedly different risk profiles corresponding to each tier:

 

The first tier consists of those primarily engaged in pure content provision.

Their main activities include analyzing historical price trends and explaining fundamental concepts, without providing real-time market commentary or making immediate judgments on specific market movements. Even if fees are charged, they are limited to the sale of recorded courses. Overall, the risk for this category is relatively low, but this does not mean there is no risk at all. The key consideration remains whether the content could be construed as having the nature of operational guidance.

 

The second tier comprises semi-guidance activities occupying an intermediate zone.

Paid communities are typically established to provide daily market analysis, chart interpretation, and Q&A. Although explicit buy/sell price levels are not directly stated, judgments such as “this level is worth monitoring” or “there is an opportunity here” may appear. In practice, this category of actors is most readily deemed to be “providing investment advice,” and risks often begin to accumulate at this stage.

 

The third category is a more typical form of aggressive trade-signal provision.

It explicitly provides buy/sell price levels and trading ranges, and may even establish some form of linkage with users’ trading outcomes or profitability. Once disputes arise or reports are filed, this category is more likely to be directly subject to criminal assessment, and the handling approach will differ significantly.

 

With respect to your specific business operations, the core risk lies in the fact that the content you share within community groups is not merely instructional knowledge, but includes real-time analysis and judgments on market conditions (for example, annotating charts with statements such as “this may present a favorable long opportunity”). Such content is likely to be characterized as having the nature of “guiding trading,” thereby influencing members’ decision-making. Even if you emphasize trading logic rather than issuing direct trade calls, it essentially constitutes the provision of investment analysis and advice.

 

Providing for compensationChart interpretationand other investment consulting services; providingdaily market analysis and Q&A, these service offerings are easily viewed as “inducing trading.”

 


 

Q If my content is deemed to constitute “inducing trading,” what specific legal risks would I face? Would they be civil liabilities or criminal liabilities?

 

A The risks primarily fall into two categories:

1.  Civil Liability Risks: If your advice leads to investment losses for users, they may file civil lawsuits against you, claiming compensation for their losses. Although you have not guaranteed returns and the risks are relatively manageable, litigation itself will consume time and energy.

 

2.  Criminal Liability Risks: This is a more significant concern. If users report losses to public security organs or if there are malicious reports, public security organs may initiate investigations. Potential charges includefraud, fundraising fraud, etc., with the logic being: Users invest based on trust in your advice, and after suffering losses, they may claim that your actions constitute fraud.

 


 

Question: What content might be considered 'investment advice' (or 'guiding transactions')?

 

AnswerAttorney Shao previously handled a case involving a KOL who ran a knowledge-based paid community. Initially, he provided 'teaching,' but gradually began analyzing market trends daily in the group chat and occasionally suggested, 'This position is worth paying attention to.' He always believed he was not 'calling trades.' However, after users suffered losses and reported the matter, the core issue determined by public security organs was whether users made transactions based on his judgments.

 

Therefore, considering relevant judicial practices, policy guidelines, and our extensive experience handling Web3 and virtual currency cases, the following behaviors may be deemed as having the nature of 'guiding transactions' or constituting 'investment advice,' thereby posing legal risks:

 

1. Providing specific buy/sell price points

This constitutes the most direct form of "shilling"—explicitly instructing users when to buy and when to sell. For example, directly stating in community groups or videos that "Bitcoin can be entered at this level," "Buy Ethereum at the current price, with a target of XX," or "This is the stop-loss point."

 

2. Providing Market Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Even if one does not explicitly say "buy," providing analysis of current market conditions and predictions of future trends similarly constitutes high-risk conduct. For example, analyzing candlestick patterns in market commentary videos, predicting the short-term trends of Bitcoin or a specific cryptocurrency, interpreting market hotspots to imply emerging opportunities, or providing outlooks for future market movements or operational ranges.

 

3. Imparting Methodologies

This is a scenario that many clients easily misunderstand:"Merely discussing methodologies should not count as inducing investment, right?"

In judicial practice, if the methodologies taught in paid courses essentially impartcoin-selection or trading techniques with clear operational guidance, and imply that clients may execute trades accordingly, such conduct will tend to be characterized as disguised "investment advice."

 

The reason is that this no longerinvolves teaching pure fundamentals of candlestick charts or trading history, but rather carries strongoperational guidance.Users pay precisely to learn how to generate profits. The reason users pay to join a community is that they believe your “logic” can help them achieve profitability in the market.

 

4. Using "teaching" as a pretext to actually "guide transactions"

For courses and educational communities, as long as their core offering consists of real-time, targeted market analysis and trading recommendations, risks remain.

 


 

Q Then, with my current service offerings, if Irefrain from predicting future trends and only discuss historical price movements and trading methods, can I achieve zero risk?

 

A The core criterion for determination is whether the content constitutes “investment advice.” The key does not lie in how you define your services—as teaching or sharing experience—but rather in whether, from the perspective of an ordinary user (paying student), your course content substantially constitutes “investment advice” or “trading guidance.”

 


 

Q I primarily share information about mainstream cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and do not recommend smaller-cap tokens. Moreover, I routinely emphasize that investment carries risks and urge cautious trading. Does this mean my actual risk exposure is relatively low?

 

A Your practice of sharing information on mainstream crypto assets, emphasizing risks, and making no return guarantees has, to some extent, mitigated risk. However, the specific assessment depends on your overall style and content positioning within the community, which will determine whether you attract a relatively rational user base or users primarily engaged in speculation. The latter group is more likely to resort to extreme measures (such as filing police reports or lodging complaints) in the event of losses.

 

Q: If I explicitly state "for reference only, does not constitute investment advice" and "for educational purposes only, does not constitute investment advice" when users make payments, can I avoid criminal liability?

 

A: No. The determination of criminal cases follows the principle of "substance over form" through penetrative review. Judicial authorities will not cease their examination of the substantive nature of your business merely because you have stated in your contract that it "does not constitute investment advice." The key criterion lies in what you actually did and what content you delivered, rather than what you publicly claimed.

 

 

 

Concluding Remarks

 

Many clients are primarily concerned with several practical questions:

Given my current situation, have I already crossed the legal line? If I stop now, is it still timely? Will the profits previously earned be subject to retroactive investigation?

 

There is no uniform answer to these questions. Each case requires analysis based on the specific business circumstances. Typically, the outcome depends on several key factors:

 

  • Whether the manner in which your content is presented is construed as providing operational guidance;

  • Whether users' trading activities can be correlated with your content;

  • Whether your business fee structure is linked to users' trading activities;

 

These issues often directly influence the final evaluation and outcome in specific cases.

 

If you are currently at a similar stage in your business and are uncertain about your risk boundaries, it is advisable not to rely solely on self-perceptions such as "education" or "sharing" for judgment. If you have begun to recognize potential risks but cannot clearly identify the specific risk points, it is necessary to deconstruct and reassess the key facts.

 

Some questions can only yield truly meaningful answers when examined in light of the specific business structure.


 


 

Special Disclaimer: This article is an original work by Attorney Shao Shiwei. It reflects solely the personal views of the author and does not constitute legal consultation or legal advice on any specific matter. For article reprints, legal consultations, or professional exchanges, please add: sswls66.

 

 

 

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